The other day we had a ‘scare’ moment when it was thought that Nissan would be facing some pretty severe production issues when it came to supplying the US.
Namely that they would only produce 10,000 cars by the end of March, and that the bulk of those would go to Japan, leaving only a few thousand for the US. In the end it turned out to be inaccurate, and was deemed by Nissan as being “pure speculation” on the part of a local dealer.
However, when I spoke to the Director of Product Planning and Strategy, Mark Perry about the possibility the LEAF would be in much shorter supply than originally thought, he was kind enough to not only belay that fear, but offer Nissan’s own thoughts and projections on how they saw the reservation system playing out:
Nissan is “still targeting 25000 reservations by December 2010 and will be able deliver most during (the) model year.” Mark also added in respect to the reservations themselves, and how many actual orders this process could lead to, that Nissan ”…expects and are planning for (a) high percentage of reservations to convert to orders but will have solid forecast in a few months.”
So, while Nissan is allowing for some lack of follow through by customer who have their $99 refundable deposit in, they are estimating it will be very low, and for those do firm up, they can (for the most part) expect to take possession of their LEAF by the fall of 2011, when the new 2012 model year is introduced.
Of note, this fall 2011 delivery expectation should hold true regardless of whether or not you are in California (or other early adopter states) or not…as Mark also added that deliveries would be occurring for the “balance of the country by Fall 2011.”